Predictions/picks against the spread for Championship Weekend

Tua Tagovoiloa raises the national championship trophy in January 2018.

By Brandon Scalea

There is nothing more exciting to me than breaking down chaotic College Football Playoff scenarios, and there is no question that this weekend can create havoc. In past years, championship weekend has been somewhat of a formality—that is not the case this season.

By late Saturday night, we are either going to have a clear playoff picture or absolutely no idea of what it is going to look like until the committee makes its final decision next Tuesday.

Here are my betting predictions for the Power 5 conference title games, as well as outright score predictions. I will also make my final CFB playoff prediction at the risk of ridicule from the 50 or so loyal page viewers I get every week. Enjoy. 

PAC 12 Championship: Nov. 30, 8 p.m.

17 Utah vs. 11 Washington (-5.5)

This game will likely have not have a winner in the playoff, but I think it’s a really interesting matchup. Utah has proven year after year that it is a force in that conference, but the team has not quite established itself as an elite team in the PAC 12.

On the other hand, Washington was a team a lot of people had in their preseason playoff predictions. The Huskies, particularly their hyped-up quarterback Jake Browning, have been a letdown this year. I think Washington has lost interest in the remainder of their season and will play down to this Utah opponent.

Pick against the spread: Utah

Score prediction: 35-24 Utah

Big 12 Championship: Dec. 1, noon

14 Texas vs. 5 Oklahoma (-8)

This is a rematch of the Red River Rivalry that gave Oklahoma its only loss of the season. Tom Herman’s Texas squad has been impressive this year, but I think the Longhorns are still a year or two away from legitimate national title contention. The Sooners have already been in that conversation, year after year, for the better part of a decade.

I think Oklahoma uses its experience and offensive prowess to revenge its earlier defeat to Texas. It will be another one of those ugly, Big 12 shootout games, and the Sooners will just be too difficult to stop. Oklahoma wins and finds itself in the Playoff for the second straight season.

Pick against the spread: Oklahoma

Score prediction: 49-34 Oklahoma

SEC Championship: Dec. 1, 4 p.m.

4 Georgia vs. 1 Alabama (-13.5)

This game has monumental implications, needless to say. It also provides some pretty interesting potential scenarios. I think if Georgia wins, Alabama still gets into the playoff at No. 3 or No. 4 irrespective of how the teams fare who are on the bubble. A lot of people can make a pretty sound argument that Georgia is the second-best team in the country.

The Bulldogs are also coming into this game with a little more edge. That 2^nd and 26 play in overtime has likely been playing in their heads since January. Kirby Smart is a Nick Saban protegee, and he likely knows a thing or two about how the latter functions in big games. One thing is for certain: this is going to be a hell of a ballgame, and I think a two-touchdown line is pretty hefty. However, Alabama is the most dominant team I have seen in years and they aren’t stopping now.

Pick against the spread: Georgia

Score prediction: 35-27 Alabama

ACC Championship: Dec. 1, 8 p.m.

Pittsburgh vs. 2 Clemson (-27.5)

I think this is going to be a weird game. There is no question that Clemson is unequivocally better than Pitt in every aspect of football, but the Panthers have been a tough team for certain powerhouses to put away. The previous 2 seasons, Pitt has upset Clemson and Miami, both ranked No. 2 at the time.

I’m not going to say that Pitt will win the football game because that is simply not going to happen. I think at the end day Clemson is Alabama’s biggest challenge because it can score a lot of points. But the Tigers will look sluggish and ugly, and there is no way in hell they are covering a four TD spread.

Pick against the spread: Pitt

Score prediction: 27-13 Clemson

Big Ten Championship: Dec. 1, 8 p.m.

21 Northwestern vs. 6 Ohio State (-14)

This is another game that I think can be very interesting, particularly early on. Northwestern will come out fired up. We know Ohio State fans travel well, but Indy is not far from Chicago, and I think the NU fans will show up loud and proud. The Wildcats have been a solid football team in the Big Ten for a long time, but this is their first real opportunity to establish themselves as the real deal. This game means a lot more to Northwestern than it does Ohio State.

Yes, the Buckeyes are jacked up from their absolute beatdown of Michigan last week. Yes, Ohio State still has a decent shot of getting into the Playoff. The Buckeyes will win, but only by doing so after asserting their dominance late in the game. There is still a clear gap in talent between Ohio State and a middle-of-the-road Big Ten team.

Pick against the spread: Ohio State

Score prediction: 38-21 Ohio State

CFB Playoff prediction:

1. Alabama
2. Clemson
3. Notre Dame
4. Oklahoma

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